And if they succeed in damaging Dr. Jacobs, who is an extraordinarily effective change agent in NOAA, U.S. weather prediction will be weakened and all the American people will become victims, with poorer warnings and guidance for severe and other weather.
But he would pay a price for it.On Sept. 6, the following statement, substantially massaged by Dr. Jacobs, was released by NOAA:The first paragraph is completely correct--the National Hurricane Center guidance DID have some probability of tropical storm force winds reaching Alabama during that period. Mr. Myers is not a scientist but a businessman. None of these individuals were familiar with NOAA or the subject domain.Their report (here) evaluated three charges. Myers and AccuWeather, as well as Jacobs and Panasonic appear to think not. Trump was correct about the Carolinas but wrong about Alabama -- with the updated forecast track Those NWS folks made a blanket statement that Dorian would have Furthermore, as the storm passed there WERE modest impacts on Alabama, with winds gusting to around 25 mph. Ross’ call implied that Jacobs and others were vulnerable if something wasn't done. It is clear that the President was uninformed about hurricanes and he made a mistake on the Alabama threat. This NOAA statement was not a good thing.
Care about severe weather and risks to your life and property? NOAA Administrator, Dr. Neil Jacobs, in a humble and emotional keynote address this morning, spoke of support for the National Weather Service and specifically the Birmingham office. Trump never discussed it.But that unmentioned line cause the media and some others to go wild, claiming he was deceiving the public, illegally altering official NOAA charts and more. These agency leaders affect the lives of literally every person in this country. Jacobs did not provide any details about his plans or priorities as acting NOAA administrator. It is attacking the victim. In the end, one person was going to pay the price for it: acting The next stage of this sad drama occurred the next Wednesday when President Trump talked about the hurricane and used an OLD National Hurricane Center forecast uncertainty chart (see below). I happen to think Americans deserve access to the life-saving forecasts and other weather information provided to the public by NOAA scientists.Most of the public may only know of NOAA because their logo appears on hurricane or tornado forecasts. Dr. Neil Jacobs, who is now acting administrator NOAA, was previously chief scientist for Panasonic’s weather business and an expert in numerical weather prediction. But the media went into hyper mocking mode and tried to score some points on him...and this President doesn't like to be mocked and became defensive. I am not one of them. The sharks were about to attack.After the statement went out, there was a hue and cry by some of the media and a few individuals suggesting that NOAA science was being undermined by the statement and that the Birmingham forecasters were being criticized and punished. UCS respects your privacy and will not display, lend, or sell your email address for any reason. Myers was interviewed about his leadership of Accuweather by the Well, not that funny really. Last night, President Trump nominated Barry Myers to be the Undersecretary of Commerce for Oceans and Atmosphere, the Administrator of NOAA. Musical chairs NOAA has been without a permanent leader for more than two years. A statement that any real meteorologist would immediately know as meaningless, but would satisfy the weather-ignorant in the Trump administration?Which was the ethical choice? And it did.According to a number of sources, Trump told his Chief of Staff, Mike Mulvaney to have NOAA deal with the situation. Others because they follow weather forecasting closely and many forecasts refer to NOAA.For those of us who spend a lot of time on the ocean, we certainly know that NOAA is responsible for producing nautical charts. Adm. Timothy Gallaudet to be Assistant Secretary of Commerce for Conservation and Management.To be fair, I believe that Admiral Gallaudet, former oceanographer of the Navy is an excellent choice for NOAA, as do A nominee to head the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (AccuWeather has been active in efforts to undercut the role of NOAA. I believe Neil made the correct choice. UCS welcomes comments that foster civil conversation and debate. Policies allegedly violated includeThe drafting of the September 6 Statement was driven by externalpolitical pressure from Department of Commerce (Commerce) senior leaders andinappropriately criticized the September 1 Birmingham Tweet and underlying scientificactivity. Someone had put a black line going into Alabama—presumably with a sharpie pen. The second paragraph was also true: the Birmingham NWS forecasters said there would be NO IMPACTS and did not qualify the risks (impacts of what?, their tweet suggested the chances were zero % rather than the predicted 5-10%). And apparently this artfully true/vague statement was allowed to replace a far harsher statement prepared by Commerce department leadership. This is just silly. I won’t hold my breath, given the current industry ties still held many members of this administration starting at the top.Do people have a right to accessible weather information that they pay for with their tax dollars? Testifying before the If appointed, Myers and Jacobs will now be in a position to make such decisions about NOAA’s work. I recently As a former NOAA scientist and manager, it was particularly troubling to me that two nominees this week to lead my former agency fit this disturbing pattern. He has also worked to improve NOAA’s financial management, saving the nation hundreds of millions of dollars. His company sells their data and model outputs to NOAA as input to weather forecasts.
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